Saturday, October 17, 2015

Typhoon Koppu / Bagyong Lando a strange Typhoon


*SOURCE: PAGASA

Philippines - Typhoon Koppu/ Lando is now a category 3 typhoon as of October 18, 2015 at 4:00 am local time. Packing winds of 175 kph near the center and gustiness up to 210 kph and forecast to move west at 3 kph per hour. It is the 12th typhoon to hit the Philippines.

Why a strange typhoon? Typhoon Lando with its international name Koppu interacts with another typhoon in the pacific, Typhoon Champi this interactions is known as a fujiwara effect thus making the movement of TY Lando slows. Also there is a High Pressure in the west Philippines Sea affecting the movement of TY Lando  and this Typhoon is projected to linger in the Northern and Central Luzon for 3 more days.

Because of its slow movement residents in the Northern and Central Luzon including Mertro Manila should monitor the amount of rains brought by TY Lando. Torrential rain is expected to cause flood in that part of  Luzon.

Here is the Update from PAGASA
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING: TYPHOON  "LANDO" 
Issued at 5:00 a.m., Sunday, 18 October 2015


Typhoon “LANDO” has made landfall over Casiguran, Aurora and has remained almost stationary.
Location of Center:
(as of  4:00 a.m.)
In the vicinity of Casiguran, Aurora
Coordinates:15.9°N, 121.8°E
Strength:Maximum sustained winds of 175 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 210 kph.
Movement:Forecast to move West at 3 kph.
Forecast Positions/Outlook:
• 24 hour (Tomorrow morning):
In the vicinity of Dupax, Nueva Viscaya

• 48 hour (Monday morning):
In the vicinity of Hungduan, Ifugao

• 72 hour (Tuesday morning):
In the vicinity of Conner, Apayao

• 96 hour (Wednesday morning):
60 km North of Aparri, Cagayan

• 120 hour (Thursday morning):
50 km South Southeast of Batanes, Batanes
PUBLIC STORM WARNING SIGNAL
 PSWSLuzon
Visayas
Mindanao
Impacts of the wind

#4
(winds of 171- 220 kph is expected in at least
12 hours)

Aurora
  
  • Very heavy damage to high-risk structures
  • Heavy damage to medium-risk structures;
  • Moderate damage to low-risk structures
  • Considerable damage to structures of light materials (up to 75% are totally and partially destroyed); complete roof structure failures.
  • Many houses of medium-built materials are unroofed, some with collapsed walls; extensive damage to doors and windows
  • A few houses of first-class materials are partially damaged
  • All signs/billboards are blown down. There is almost total damage to banana plantation,
  • Most mango trees, ipil-ipil and similar types of large trees are downed or broken.
  • Coconut plantation may suffer extensive damage.
  • Rice and corn plantation may suffer severe losses.

#3
(winds of 121 - 170 kph is expected in at least
18 hours)

Isabela
Quirino
Nueva Vizcaya
Nueva Ecija
Ifugao
Northern Quezon including Polillo Islands




  • Heavy damage to high–risk structures;
  • Moderate damage to medium- risk structures;
    Light damage to low-risk structures
  • Increasing damage (up to more than 50%) to old, dilapidated residential structures and houses of light materials. Majority of all nipa and cogon houses may be unroofed or destroyed
  • Houses of medium strength materials (old, timber or mixed timber-CHB structures, usually with G.I. roofing's); some warehouses or bodega-type structures are unroofed.
  • There may be widespread disruption of electrical power and communication services.
  • Almost all banana plants are downed
  • Some big trees (acacia, mango, etc.) are broken or uprooted,
  • Dwarf-type or hybrid coconut trees are tilted or downed.
  • Rice and corn crops may suffer heavy losses
  • Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off; some large trees blown down.

#2
(winds of 61 - 120 kph is expected in at least
24 hours)

Cagayan including Calayan and Babuyan group of Islands, Benguet, Mt. Province, Kalinga, Apayao, Pangasinan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Rizal,     rest of Quezon and Metro Manila




  • Light to Moderate damage to high risk structures;
  • Very light to light damage to medium-risk structures;
  • No damage to very light damage to low risk structures
  • Unshielded, old dilapidated schoolhouses, makeshift shanties, and other structures of light materials are partially damaged or unroofed.
  • A number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed.
  • Some old galvanized iron (G.I.) roofs may be peeled or blown off.
  • Some wooden, old electric posts are tilted or downed.
  • Some damage to poorly constructed signs/billboards
  • In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities. Most banana plants, a few mango trees, ipil-ipil and similar types of trees are downed or broken
  • Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken
  • Rice and corn may be adversely affected
  • Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some heavy-foliaged trees blown down

#1
(winds of 30 - 60 kph is expected in at least
36 hours)
Zambales, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Abra, Camarines Norte, Bataan, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas and Batanes 
-

    -
  • Very light or no damage to high risk structures.
  • Light damage to medium to low risk structures.
  • Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged.
  • Twigs of small trees may be broken.
  • Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
  • Estimated rainfall amount is from heavy to intense within the 600 km diameter of the typhoon.
  • Fisherfolk are advised not to venture out over the seaboards of Luzon and Visayas and the northern and eastern seaboard of Mindanao.
  • Occasional rains and gusty winds will be experienced over provinces under PSWS#1 while those under PSWS #2#3 and #4 will have stormy weather. Residents in low lying and mountainous areas of the provinces with PSWS are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.
  • Typhoon Lando is expected to make a landfall over Northern Aurora area by tomorrow early morning.
  • Storm surge may reach to a maximum of 3-4 meters in Aurora and neighboring provinces.
  • Wave height in open sea may reach up to 14 meters or higher.
  • Public Storm Warning Signal (PSWS) elsewhere is now lowered.
  • The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at11 AM today


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